Predictify
    PYXIS Incrementality

    PYXIS Incrementality

    Identify what actually drives traffic and sales

    Traditional attribution shows which channels receive credit for conversions.

    Incrementality tells you who creates the impact.

    PYXIS Incrementality is a holistic measurement of the true incremental sales impact of your digital activities across every platform and the entire customer journey.

    By combining machine learning, hierarchical modelling and cross-platform data, organisations gain a more accurate understanding of marketing effectiveness.

    PYXIS Incrementality is part of the PYXIS Performance Suite and typically builds on structured data from PYXIS Connect, but can also integrate with an organisation's existing data infrastructure.

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    Key challenges PYXIS Incrementality helps solve

    Organisations today rely heavily on traditional platform attribution models. However, these models often provide an incomplete picture of marketing performance.

    In an era of declining cookie-based tracking and fragmented data, understanding what actually drives business growth has become increasingly difficult.

    PYXIS Incrementality is designed to address three common challenges:

    Cross-platform measurement

    Comparing results across platforms is increasingly challenging due to incomplete data and inconsistent attribution methodologies.

    PYXIS Incrementality provides a unified modelling framework that enables consistent evaluation of impact and performance across platforms.

    Increasing "direct" traffic despite higher media investment

    Many organisations experience a paradox where direct traffic appears to increase while media-attributed traffic declines – even as marketing investments grow. This challenge has accelerated due to changes in tracking technologies, reduction in cookie-based measurements and a general consumer demand for privacy.

    PYXIS Incrementality captures both direct and indirect effects, helping organisations understand how media activities influence traffic, conversions and overall business outcomes.

    Full-funnel visibility

    Traditional attribution models tend to overestimate activities close to conversion while underestimating the impact of earlier touchpoints.

    PYXIS Incrementality quantifies both upper-, mid- and lower-funnel effects to provide a more complete view of marketing performance.

    Challenge
    How PYXIS solves it
    Cross-platform measurement
    Holistic modelling
    Direct traffic paradox
    Causal modelling
    Funnel misattribution
    Direct + indirect effects

    What is PYXIS Incrementality?

    PYXIS Incrementality provides a holistic measurement of the incremental impact of digital marketing activities.

    Using advanced modelling techniques, PYXIS Incrementality identifies how different marketing activities contribute to traffic, conversions and sales.

    The models incorporate a wide range of data sources, including

    Digital media data
    Offline media data
    Market context
    Competitor activity
    Macroeconomic indicators
    Seasonal patterns
    Weather data

    By modelling both direct and indirect effects, organisations gain a clearer view of how marketing activities interact across channels.

    How the modelling works

    PYXIS Incrementality models are built using hierarchical machine learning frameworks. These models analyse the relationship between marketing activities and key performance indicators (KPIs) such as sessions, conversions and revenue.

    The modelling approach allows organisations to identify:

    Direct media effects

    Measure the immediate impact of each channel

    Indirect effects across channels

    Capture how channels amplify each other

    Brand and seasonal influences

    Account for organic demand and cyclicality

    External market factors

    Control for competitor and macro shifts

    The models are implemented using Python and cloud infrastructure, ensuring transparency and analytical robustness.

    From attribution to real marketing impact

    Traditional attribution models often underestimate the impact of upper-funnel activities. PYXIS Incrementality identifies how different channels influence each other and how exposure effects drive downstream conversions.

    For example, upper-funnel activities such as video or social media may increase search demand and conversion volume. The models quantify these relationships, enabling organisations to understand how different channels contribute to overall marketing performance.

    In practical applications, PYXIS Incrementality has demonstrated that traditional attribution models often underestimate media impact significantly.

    Attribution view

    Direct37%
    Paid Search28%
    Organic Search19%
    Paid Social9%
    Display5%
    Video2%
    VS

    Incrementality view

    Direct19%
    Paid Search30%
    Organic Search14%
    Paid Social18%
    Display13%
    Video6%

    Example: Identifying hidden media impact

    In an incrementality analysis, PYXIS Incrementality revealed that traditional attribution models significantly underestimated the impact of marketing activities.

    Traditional attribution

    35,185

    events attributed to media activities

    vs.

    PYXIS Incrementality

    58,430

    measured incremental impact

    This represents a

    +66%

    higher documented media impact

    Business value of PYXIS Incrementality

    Organisations using PYXIS Incrementality gain a clearer understanding of how marketing investments drive results.

    Improved media budget allocation

    Invest in the activities that generate the greatest incremental impact.

    Higher effectiveness of marketing investments

    Identify which channels and formats drive the strongest performance.

    Shorter path from testing to insight

    Quickly identify optimisation opportunities.

    Holistic media planning

    Understand how upper-funnel activities influence downstream digital KPIs.

    Better allocation across owned and paid channels

    Understand how CRM, apps and other owned channels influence performance.

    Transparent and robust modelling

    PYXIS Incrementality follows best practices for statistical modelling and analytical governance. All models are fully transparent and designed to ensure reliable insights.

    The modelling framework includes:

    Model diagnostics and validation
    Transparent modelling assumptions
    Reproducible machine learning pipelines
    Ongoing model updates as new data becomes available

    This ensures that insights remain robust and actionable over time.

    Technical Integrity: No Black Boxes

    We believe in full transparency. Our methodology is based on rigorous statistical governance and a "No Black Box" approach:

    Advanced Machine Learning

    We utilise a hierarchical model setup executed in Python and Microsoft Fabric.

    Bayesian Optimisation

    Our models undergo automated hyperparameter tuning and N-fold cross-validation to ensure maximum predictive accuracy.

    External Feature Integration

    We isolate pure media effects by controlling for seasonality, macroeconomics, and competitor trends.

    Part of the PYXIS Performance Suite

    PYXIS Incrementality is part of the PYXIS Performance Suite, which helps organisations move from fragmented data to structured insights and data-driven decisions.

    PYXIS Performance Suite

    Understand what actually drives your marketing performance

    PYXIS Incrementality provides organisations with a transparent and robust measurement of marketing effectiveness across platforms.

    If you want to move beyond attribution and understand the true drivers of marketing performance, we would be happy to explore how PYXIS Incrementality can support your organisation.

    Want to learn more?

    FAQ

    FAQ: PYXIS Incrementality

    Unlock your true marketing ROI

    PYXIS Incrementality provides the evidence needed to invest where it actually matters, often documenting a significantly higher media effect than traditional tracking systems.

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    Let's Start a Conversation

    Have a question or want to discuss how we can help your business? We'd love to hear from you.